Home › Heating cost by state › Arkansas

Heat pump vs gas furnace in Arkansas: heating cost by fuel (2026)

At Arkansas's average prices, a heat pump (COP 2.5) delivers heat for $15.95 per million BTU, versus $23.92 for a 95% gas furnace, $29.88 for propane and $52.58 for heating oil. That makes the heat pump cheaper than a new gas furnace here. It breaks even with gas at a seasonal COP of 1.67.

Heat pump, est. per year$504COP 2.5; $630 at COP 2.0, $420 at COP 3.0

Gas furnace, est. per year$75695% AFUE; $898 at 80%

Propane, est. per year$945heat pump breaks even at COP 1.33

Heating oil, est. per year$1,662heat pump breaks even at COP 0.76

Cost per unit of heat in Arkansas, cheapest first

System	$ per MMBtu delivered	Est. per year (31.6 MMBtu)
Heat pump (seasonal COP 2.5)	$15.95	$504
Gas furnace, 95% AFUE	$23.92	$756
Older gas furnace, 80% AFUE	$28.40	$898
Propane furnace, 95% AFUE	$29.88	$945
Electric resistance (baseboard/furnace), 100%	$39.89	$1,261
Heating oil furnace/boiler, 85%	$52.58	$1,662

The Arkansas inputs

Electricity: 13.61¢/kWh, residential average year-to-date through July 2026 (EIA Electric Power Monthly). U.S.: 18.19¢.
Natural gas: $23.54 per thousand cubic feet, average of EIA monthly residential prices for Oct 2025–Mar 2026 (6 months reported). U.S.: $15.60.
Propane: $2.60/gal, week of Oct 19, 2026 (a year earlier: $2.19); EIA state series. EIA weekly prices exclude taxes.
Heating oil: $6.19/gal, week of Oct 19, 2026 (a year earlier: $3.53); not surveyed in this state; EIA U.S. average shown. Excludes taxes.
Climate: 3,161 heating degree days per year (base 65°F); NOAA CPC population-weighted state average, 2011–2025.

Heating cost calculator

State

Heating degree days / yr

Heat needed per degree day (BTU)

Heat pump seasonal COP

Gas furnace AFUE (%)

Electricity (¢/kWh)

Natural gas ($/Mcf)

Propane ($/gal)

Heating oil ($/gal)

Defaults are the state's latest EIA prices and NOAA degree days; the BTU-per-degree-day, COP and efficiency values are our assumptions. Put in your own bill rates and a known annual heat use for a better answer. Runs in your browser; nothing is sent anywhere. Tip: 1 therm = 0.1 MMBtu; $/therm × 10.36 ≈ $/Mcf.

Assumptions (ours, not EIA/NOAA figures): heat pump seasonal COP 2.5 (we also show 2.0 for very cold climates and 3.0 for mild ones); gas furnace 95% AFUE (older units ~80%); propane furnace 95%; oil 85%; electric resistance 100%. Annual totals assume a home that needs 10,000 BTU of delivered heat per heating degree day, a round number for an existing house; a tight new home may need half that, a drafty one more. The per-MMBtu comparison does not depend on house size. Prices exclude equipment, installation, maintenance, fixed monthly utility charges and rebates. Method & sources.

More for Arkansas

EV vs gas car cost in Arkansas · Cost to run a space heater · Electric blanket · All states compared · When does it first snow in Arkansas? (sister site)